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US protectionism threatens India’s external deficit

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INTERNATIONAL

Infosys's share price has fallen by over 10% this year. More broadly, India’s net dollar exports of IT and IT-enabled services fell by 2% year-on-year in fiscal year April…

Prospects for the UK economy in 2022

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PROSPECTS 2022

However, the recovery has also led to supply bottlenecks and labour shortages, which have resulted in inflationary pressures. While most of the pandemic-related impacts on the…

Shifting Turkey's gas supplies from Russia will cost

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TURKEY/RUSSIA

Turkish-Russian relations may suffer long-lasting damage from the downing of a Russian Su-24 military jet on the Turkish-Syrian border. Turkey has started looking to diversify…

EU will ignore Azerbaijan’s repression of minority

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AZERBAIJAN

The arrests are connected with continuing tensions with Iran, stemming from an attack on Azerbaijan’s embassy in Tehran in January. They have profound implications for Azerbaijani…

French government faces tough parliamentary hurdles

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FRANCE

The minority government faces significant opposition to its medium-term financial plans, next year’s deficit-reducing budget and immigration reforms.

Sanctions will reduce Russia’s oil exports eventually

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RUSSIA

In June 2022, Russia booked almost twice the revenue (USD20.4bn) from such exports. Declining oil income poses a serious challenge to the administration of President Vladimir…

Russia cannot expect Central Asian backing for war

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CENTRAL ASIA

Russia's invasion of Ukraine places Central Asian governments in an awkward position. They are economically dependent on Russia and vulnerable to President Vladimir Putin's…

Russia's loyal parties lose direction by backing war

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RUSSIA

Each of these three 'loyal opposition' parties is competing to be seen as the most patriotic. Their support for the war has diminished their ability to channel nationalist and…

Prospects for US foreign policy to end-2019

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PROSPECTS H2 2019

Prospects for US foreign policy to end-2019.

Pope's visit to Turkey will ease relations

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TURKEY/VATICAN

Although Turks' response to the outrage in Paris on January 7 has been mixed, with some Islamist newspapers and their readers justifying it as revenge for insults to the Prophet…