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Ethiopia-Somaliland port deal may spur chain reaction

Location:

ETHIOPIA/SOMALIA

The deal has angered Somalia, which still claims sovereignty over Somaliland, and has triggered reactions that could aggravate already volatile geopolitics in the Horn of Africa.

Mexico will be a key player in US-China trade tensions

Location:

MEXICO

However, it appears to have done so in no small part due to geopolitics rather than the strength of its own economy. Chinese investments and Mexican imports of Chinese products…

Appeal of nuclear energy grows in South-east Asia

Location:

SOUTH-EAST ASIA

The Philippines and other South-east Asian countries are keen on adding nuclear to their energy mixes. Geopolitics is a key factor in their efforts to realise this ambition, with…

G7 achieves new unity on China, despite divisions

Location:

CHINA

The members’ statement formally brought together individual country strategies that had already been hardened by recent experiences with China. Yet the G7’s approach is more…

Beijing will ramp up supply pressure on key minerals

Location:

CHINA

China accounts for 70% of global output of rare earths, which are key for the production of electric vehicles (EVs) and certain weapons, including missiles.

Iran-Azerbaijan relations will improve

Location:

IRAN/AZERBAIJAN

Relations between Azerbaijan and Iran have tended to oscillate between distrust and outright animosity. However, recent events and official statements signal that the two sides…

Iran will work to improve ties in the South Caucasus

Location:

IRAN

Iran perceives that it has become isolated in the South Caucasus, as a result of changing geopolitical relations over the past three years. Israel has increased its presence…

Gaza will strain but not break Gulf-Iranian detente

Location:

GULF STATES

While tensions across the region have risen sharply, Gulf and Iranian officials have engaged in regular and high-level dialogue that has so far prevented a wider conflagration…

Abyei conflict may trigger wider unrest in South Sudan

Location:

SOUTH SUDAN

Government attempts to stop the clashes have been ineffective, and both sides have used Nuer forces from elsewhere in South Sudan, risking a broadening conflict.

IPEF failure will hurt US firms on digital trade

Location:

UNITED STATES

Although it does not have the force of law, the IPEF Supply Chain Agreement, along with the associated IPEF Critical Minerals Dialogue, is expected to strengthen chains of…