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China supplants Fed as main risk to EMs

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INTERNATIONAL

While futures markets are assigning a 28% probability to a rate hike this month, emerging markets (EMs) are likely to remain under strain regardless of whether the Fed tightens…

EMs will stay fragile despite improving sentiment

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INTERNATIONAL

The improvement in investor sentiment stems mainly from the stabilisation of oil prices and an easing of concerns about China's economy, lifting asset prices in emerging markets…

Financial market buoyancy is fragile amid rising risks

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INTERNATIONAL

Financial market momentum.

Central European monetary policy may stay ultra-loose

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CENTRAL EUROPE

Financial markets in Central Europe (CE) are closely correlated with those in the core of the euro-area and their central banks are the most dovish in emerging markets (EMs)…

Prospects for the global economy in the second quarter

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PROSPECTS Q2 2015

Prospects for the global economy in the second quarter.

Yen surge to question global monetary easing's effects

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INTERNATIONAL

Despite aggressive easing by both the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and the ECB, including negative interest rates, the lowering of expectations over the scale and pace of rate hikes by the…

Investment pledges could transform Egypt's economy

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EGYPT

Egypt's business climate.

Market dip highlights US equities as a key risk

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INTERNATIONAL

Global markets are being unsettled by a confluence of negative factors, especially a sell-off in government bonds that has raised the yield on 10-year US Treasuries by 10 basis…

Oil price will stay subdued globally in 2016

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INTERNATIONAL

The likelihood of a production-cutting deal between OPEC and non-OPEC producers has diminished, and the moderate rebound in prices at end-January has reversed. In 2016, demand…

Policy concerns will keep Turkish lira under strain

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TURKEY

Mounting concerns that a faster-than-expected global economic recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic will spur inflation, forcing the leading central banks to signal an…