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President will try to fracture Congolese opposition

Location:

CONGO-KINSHASA

On March 3 the main opposition bloc in the DRC, Le Rassemblement (or the Rally), announced that Tshisekedi, whose UDPS is one of the central groups comprising the Rally, had taken…

Muhoozi faces a complex path to Uganda's presidency

Location:

UGANDA

As Ugandan law bars active military officers from politics, this was widely interpreted as a step towards seeking the presidency, which has father has held for almost four…

Cambodia handover masks gradual nature of transition

Location:

CAMBODIA

Hun Manet is Hun Sen’s eldest son. He was the presumed political heir to his father for nearly a decade, but his election as an MP in the July 23 parliamentary polls, where the…

Congo’s president will secure contested fourth term

Location:

CONGO-BRAZZAVILLE

Several of the main opposition figures are not participating or have decided to boycott, citing an unlevel playing field. The 2016 election runner-up, Guy-Brice Parfait Kolelas…

Chad’s president aims to ‘divide and rule’

Location:

CHAD

Key rebel groups have welcome Deby’s appeal. However, the Front for Alternation and Concord in Chad (FACT), which killed President Idriss Deby in April, has set conditions for…

Rift within Philippine administration will deepen

Location:

PHILIPPINES

Duterte has come under criticism in Congress over her use of confidential funds (CFs). Despite the president’s remarks, he and his deputy appear to be at odds on a range of issues.

Iran’s opposition will struggle to gain global support

Location:

IRAN

Pahlavi, the son of the deposed Shah of Iran, is taking advantage of the increasing isolation of Iran from Western governments. However, a coherent opposition grouping that has…

Chad’s peace deal will be only partially successful

Location:

CHAD

However, prominent rebel groups -- including the Front for Alternation and Concord in Chad (FACT), responsible for the death of President Idriss Deby in April 2021 -- refused to…

US alliances with Philippines and Thailand diverge

Location:

PHILIPPINES/THAILAND

Bangkok and Manila are Washington’s only treaty allies in South-east Asia. Thailand took offence at President Joe Biden skipping the APEC event. Washington-Manila ties have…

Chadian national dialogue may be mostly performative

Location:

CHAD

Only the final debate is pending for the dialogue, which began in N’Djamena on August 20 after several delays. It is meant to generate input and momentum towards drafting a new…