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Prospects for Syria to end-2018

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2018

Prospects for Syria to end-2018.

Trump leaves field to Putin and Erdogan in Syria

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TURKEY/US/RUSSIA/SYRIA

The team includes the defence and foreign ministers, the intelligence chief and President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s special adviser Ibrahim Kalin. They will visit Washington later…

Georgia struggles to stay out of war in Ukraine

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GEORGIA/UKRAINE

The death of a Georgian national in Ukraine spurred controversy when the defence ministry put out an allegedly unauthorised statement blaming former President Mikheil Saakashvili…

Algeria will pursue stronger ties in the Sahel

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ALGERIA

In February, President Abdelmadjid Tebboune announced that Algeria is planning free trade zones with Niger and Mali, despite increasingly volatile ties with the latter. That same…

Hydrocarbons wealth will entrench Libya divisions

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LIBYA

The NOC-ENI agreement follows on from an earlier memorandum of understanding (MoU) which Turkey signed with the Tripoli-based Government of National Unity (GNU) in October. This…

Economic pressures will strain Chadian stability

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CHAD

President Idriss Deby has struggled to turn the economy around after oil prices collapsed, depriving Chad of its main source of income. This has led to civil unrest and strikes.

Yemen's north-south economic divide will persist

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YEMEN

Aid commitments are on a downward trajectory. In 2022, donors extended over USD2.2bn in assistance out of a budgeted USD4.27bn. Meanwhile, talks are underway between Saudi Arabia…

Russia's economic decline will continue this year

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RUSSIA

The recession was far shallower than expected; early forecasts had predicted a contraction of up to 10%. However, economic decline will continue into 2023. Unprecedented sanctions…

Turkey’s defence industry is set for growth

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TURKEY

A major milestone was showcased in February, as KAAN, the country’s first domestically produced fifth-generation combat aircraft, made its maiden flight. The aircraft is equipped…

Oman will defend its interests on the Yemen border

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YEMEN/OMAN

Muscat is deeply concerned about the Yemen conflict's potential for cross-border and regional destabilisation. In recent months, the Saudi-led coalition backing the…