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Key rift is growing threat to stability in Philippines

Location:

PHILIPPINES

Furthermore, former President Duterte threatened the secession of the southern Mindanao island, the Duterte family’s political stronghold, if Marcos proceeds with plans to amend…

EU will avoid new Russia sanctions as long as it can

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EU/RUSSIA

EU responses to Russian actions around Ukraine.

ASEAN region neutrality in US-China rivalry has limits

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ASEAN

The region’s states try to avoid being drawn in, individually and under the aegis of ASEAN. If tensions between Washington and Beijing were to get out of hand, they could come…

Politics may aggravate Congo’s security challenges

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CONGO-KINSHASA

A new mission organised by the Southern African Development Community (SADC) is now expected to arrive but is unlikely to do so before the EACRF departs.

Prospects for South-east Asia in 2023

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PROSPECTS 2023

Prospects for South-east Asia in 2023.

US backing of Israel over Golan will come with costs

Location:

ISRAEL/SYRIA/US

Trump asserted that the decision was necessary to promote regional security and stability. As with his 2017 decision to recognise Jerusalem as Israel’s capital, the president is…

Strains of war are beginning to show in Russia

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RUSSIA

The invasion of Ukraine is causing strains in Russian society to show, with opposition to another mobilisation and rising appetite for peace talks. The economy is overheating in…

Fading support for Ukraine will affect EU policymaking

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EU

This suggests a growing disconnect within European society from the realities of the war and a decrease in the perceived threat posed by Russia. This outcome reflects heightened…

Asian summits highlight contrasting trajectories

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ASIA

Indonesia hosted the 43rd ASEAN summit and related events, including the 18th East Asia Summit (EAS). India held its first-ever G20 summit. ASEAN’s chairmanship now passes to…

Taiwan focus is on defence and third force politics

Location:

TAIWAN

The arms will be taken directly from US stockpiles. China is the central factor in campaigning for Taiwan’s 2024 presidential elections. However, a strong showing by a third-party…