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Uganda age-limit bill may pass but discord will grow

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UGANDA

Having won re-election in 2016, long-serving President Yoweri Museveni is ineligible to run again in 2021 under a constitutional provision barring candidates over 75 years of age…

Opposition to Museveni in Uganda will grow

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UGANDA

Ugandan presidential transition scenarios.

COVID-19 will test brittle South African health system

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SOUTH AFRICA

President Cyril Ramaphosa on March 15 declared a state of national disaster and announced stringent measures to help combat the outbreak. While South Africa is relatively well…

Ivory Coast’s leader will face growing poll pressure

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IVORY COAST

Gon Coulibaly died aged 61 on July 8 in Abidjan shortly after falling ill during a cabinet meeting. His passing has upended the ruling Rally of Houphouetists for Democracy and…

Candidate death would roil US presidential elections

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UNITED STATES

Both leading presidential candidates are at an age where COVID-19 represents a potential mortal threat. Laws and party rules exist to deal with the death of a presidential…

Power struggle mars Somalia’s constitutional reform

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SOMALIA

The proposals must be approved in a referendum but have already drawn opposition accusations of a power grab by the president. Most notably, Puntland’s president has said his…

Ugandan military changes hint at generational shift

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UGANDA

The reshuffle signals broader generational change in the ruling National Resistance Movement (NRM) regime, heightens fears of further concentration of power, and reignites the…

Future integrity of the United Kingdom is at risk

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UNITED KINGDOM

The Brexit process also has coincided with the rise of national over British identities in Scotland and Wales, as well as an increase in younger generations supporting…

Moroccan authorities will manage the king’s absences

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MOROCCO

He returned to Rabat in March, apparently after a three-month stay in Gabon, and engaged in an intensive programme of public activities. The monarchy (and political figures close…

Reforms will raise doubts over Chile's mining outlook

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CHILE

However, mining companies are warning that bills before Congress and possible changes under a new constitution to be drawn up by a recently elected constitutional convention could…