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Russian A2/AD systems will undermine NATO credibility

Location:

NATO

The emergence of Russian A2/AD zones in the High North, the Baltic Sea, the eastern Mediterranean and the Black Sea impacts NATO's ability to operate in key regions of interest to…

FATF will strengthen its international recommendations

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

The FATF sets international standards in anti-money laundering and countering the financing of terrorism (AML/CFT). Problematic jurisdictions can be placed on either a 'grey' or a…

Ukraine war will shift Black Sea naval balance

Location:

UKRAINE

The strike, followed by attacks against the BSF headquarters on September 22-23, seriously degraded Russian naval power to the advantage of Ukraine and NATO.

NATO Baltic exercises will prompt risky behaviour

Location:

NATO

BALTOPS 16 will be the largest NATO maritime exercise in the Baltic Sea in recent years. The exercise is also held mere weeks before NATO's July 8-9 summit in Warsaw, and…

Erdogan’s ambitions will strain EU ties further

Location:

TURKEY/FRANCE

Rising tensions over the conflict in Libya have produced a severe crisis in French-Turkish ties and threaten to exacerbate strains in Ankara’s relations with the EU. By placing…

Kremlin will tighten control over information space

Location:

RUSSIA

This has enabled the leadership to manage vulnerabilities ahead of a vote intended to legitimise President Vladimir Putin's continued rule. However, the authorities’ efforts to…

Japan will become a more formidable military power

Location:

JAPAN

Two changes have attracted particular attention: a massive increase in defence spending and the acquisition of 'counterstrike' capability -- the ability to hit enemy launch sites…

Russia's loyal parties lose direction by backing war

Location:

RUSSIA

Each of these three 'loyal opposition' parties is competing to be seen as the most patriotic. Their support for the war has diminished their ability to channel nationalist and…

Austrian exit from Russian gas is far from assured

Location:

AUSTRIA

Russia's share of Austrian gas imports was cut sharply in the wake of the February 2022 invasion of Ukraine but has now returned to pre-war levels. Austria’s ability to accelerate…

Russia’s ties with Iran will grow stronger

Location:

RUSSIA

War, sanctions and a mutual desire to overturn US-led regional security orders have pushed Moscow and Tehran closer together. Moscow desires to turn what has historically been a…