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China will prioritise domestic over foreign policy

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CHINA

President Xi Jinping in a speech commended the accomplishments of China’s leadership since he came to power over a decade ago. At a time when China faces growing economic…

Russia’s ties with Iran will grow stronger

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RUSSIA

War, sanctions and a mutual desire to overturn US-led regional security orders have pushed Moscow and Tehran closer together. Moscow desires to turn what has historically been a…

Tough economic challenges await Taiwan president-elect

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TAIWAN

The election in January of Lai Ching-te as president signalled continuity in economic policy, and economic pressure from Beijing has to date had limited effect. However, Lai faces…

Arevalo will steer gradual improvements in Guatemala

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GUATEMALA

Arevalo’s victory marks a shift in Guatemalan politics. After years of democratic backsliding, Arevalo promises a slow, partial recovery of transparency and the rule of law. His…

Middle East and North African debt fears will rise

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MENA

Like other fuel-importing countries in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA), it has large structural fiscal and current account deficits. These have resulted in climbing…

Oman's state-society relations may slowly change

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OMAN

Many welcomed the decision, believing it reflected the authorities’ acknowledgement of social realities. The decision also builds on other changes to state-society relations, such…

Uzbekistan will seek more Chinese investment

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UZBEKISTAN

In late January, Uzbek President Shavkat Mirziyoyev paid a state visit to China to seek greater investment and trade opportunities. Mirziyoyev’s visit is the culmination of years…

Slow growth may hit trust in Colombia’s government

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COLOMBIA

Government spending levels depend on those of individual ministries, some of which spent remarkably little last year, raising questions about budgetary decision-making. Recent…

Morocco will press on with its outreach to the Sahel

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MOROCCO

During that meeting, discussions focused on a Moroccan proposal to grant these landlocked countries access to the Atlantic Ocean. The proposal hints at a transactional…

Politics will drive growth in trade de-dollarisation

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INTERNATIONAL

A move away from the US dollar is gaining momentum, driven by the West’s use of economic sanctions, high levels of sovereign debt and a desire to de-link monetary policy from the…