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Near-term US outlook is solid, but clouds are building

Location:

UNITED STATES

Core personal consumption expenditure inflation is 4.7% year-on-year, above the 2.0% target. The economy is holding up, with the OECD now forecasting GDP growth of 1.5%, up from…

Central banks battle inflation and political headwinds

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

With greater-than-usual uncertainty about the course of inflation and economic growth, decisions taken now by central banks will have a crucial impact on longer-term growth…

Global monetary policy divergence will emerge in 2016

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Despite a less dovish than expected policy response on the part of the ECB on December 3, monetary policy divergence between the Fed and the ECB is likely to heighten in 2016…

Monetary easing efficacy is decreasing globally

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Efficacy of monetary policy at the zero lower bound.

Prospects for the global economy to end-2018

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2018

Global economy prospects.

Prospects for the global economy to end-2021

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2021

However, supply is struggling to keep pace with demand, and dislocation effects plus shortages of some critical goods and workers are raising prices. GDP growth forecasts for 2021…

Prospects for the global economy to end-2019

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2019

Prospects for the global economy to end-2019.

Central bank action will drive global equity markets

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

This volatility is driven by expectations of further monetary stimulus in response to a slowing economy. Despite persistent concerns about the fallout from the anticipated…

Rising risks may threaten China’s steady GDP slowdown

Location:

CHINA

China growth outlook.

Prospects for the global economy to end-2020

Location:

PROSPECTS 2020 H2

COVID-19 dominates the scenarios for the next six months, which range from a swift sharp recovery to another dramatic fall in activity. Policy responses, financial markets…