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South-east Asia opium trade will likely increase

Location:

SOUTH-EAST ASIA

The report contains the results of opium poppy cultivation surveys in Myanmar and Laos during the 2022/23 poppy season. The ‘Golden Triangle’ -- centred on the…

Afghan Taliban will weigh impact of opium ban

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AFGHANISTAN

The Taliban have outlawed the production, use and trafficking of all illicit drugs. The opium ban surprised many observers who doubted that the Taliban would risk the detrimental…

Yemenis face little prospects of major relief

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YEMEN

Floods and heavy rains have made the situation worse. Meanwhile, attacks by the Huthis (the group in control of northern Yemen) obstruct shipping traffic to Hodeida port, which is…

Guinea's junta may face growing discontent

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GUINEA

The explosion caused extensive damage in Conakry’s Kaloum peninsula, killing at least 25 people and injuring 454, with many remaining unaccounted for. Fallout from the disaster…

Morocco will struggle to lift growth rates

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MOROCCO

This is below the medium-term target of average annual real GDP growth of 6%, with economic performance largely affected by poor agricultural harvests. There was a modest recovery…

Bleak economic indicators will be the norm in Sudan

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SUDAN

Nevertheless, for the first time since the war broke out, the central bank has presented a monetary policy strategy and the finance ministry a budget.

Egypt's economy will stand on firmer ground

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EGYPT

Its actions included floating the currency, which triggered a major devaluation, and a 600-basis point increase in its benchmark interest rate to 27.75%. Meanwhile, the government…

Afghanistan’s economic outlook is bleak

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AFGHANISTAN

Afghanistan’s ruling Taliban want production to expand to 19,000 b/d shortly. They are counting on the extractives sector to help boost revenue and shore up the flailing economy.

ASEAN leadership will stretch Laos in 2024

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LAOS

The theme it has chosen for its chairmanship is ‘enhancing connectivity and resilience’. The reference to ‘resilience’ is apt, as Laos is attempting to manage severe economic…

Syrian Kurds face a possible loss of autonomy

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SYRIA

After the outbreak of civil war in 2011 and the rise of Islamic State (IS), the US-backed SDF managed to establish an autonomous administration in northeast Syria. However, it…