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East European growth in 2023 will be modest at best

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EASTERN EUROPE

Some countries are dipping into recession, while others are likely to manage modest growth. Their various policy and real-economy responses point to different strengths and…

Russia will promote grain sales while limiting imports

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RUSSIA

Russian food production and export prospects.

Many factors will restrict Russia’s recovery in 2023

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RUSSIA

This turnout was a far milder contraction than the many assessments made at the outset of the invasion of Ukraine of its likely impact on the Russian economy. It prompted a public…

Russian recession will blunt Central Asian growth

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CIS

Russia's economic problems caused by the low price of oil and to a lesser extent Western sanctions are a challenge for Kazakhstan and the four other Central Asian states. In its…

Oil price rise to change Mexican government strategy

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MEXICO

This will be all the more marked given the importance of oil-related revenues to the exchequer and President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador's (AMLO) apparent determination to keep…

Tajik and Kyrgyz economies show unexpected strength

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TAJIKISTAN/KYRGYZSTAN

Both have avoided the deep economic crisis that seemed likely in the spring. Income from remittances, on which both rely heavily, has recovered after a dip following the invasion.

Prospects for Russian politics to end-2016

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PROSPECTS H2 2016

Prospects for Russian domestic politics and foreign policy to end-2016.

Global iron ore market will stay oversupplied

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INTERNATIONAL

Developments in the global iron ore market

Hungary's trying to revive Western ties may fall short

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HUNGARY

Budapest's balancing between traditional and non-traditional ties.

Sanctions will reduce Russia’s oil exports eventually

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RUSSIA

In June 2022, Russia booked almost twice the revenue (USD20.4bn) from such exports. Declining oil income poses a serious challenge to the administration of President Vladimir…