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Disunity among critics will aid South Sudan government

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SOUTH SUDAN

Two years after the peace agreement, South Sudan is still at war -- and political, security, humanitarian and economic conditions are dire. Nevertheless, the balance of power…

Prospects for East and Central Africa to end-2022

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PROSPECTS H2 2022

Prospects for East and Central Africa to end-2022.

Prospects for East Africa and the Great Lakes in 2018

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PROSPECTS 2018

Prospects for East Africa and the Great Lakes in 2018.

Prospects for African politics to end-2019

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PROSPECTS H2 2019

Prospects for African politics to end-2019.

Ethiopia’s Tigray troubles are far from over

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ETHIOPIA

Indeed, the lull in armed confrontation appears to have merely given both sides time to re-arm and regroup for the coming battle.

Ethiopia’s new cabinet embodies continuity, not change

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ETHIOPIA

However, the new government appears to be continuing the polices of the last administration, not least by opening its term with a new offensive targeting Tigrayan rebels.

Ethiopia’s ethnic federalism will face strains

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ETHIOPIA

Challenges to Ethiopia's system of ethnic federalism.

Lull in violence offers hope for end to Ethiopia’s war

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ETHIOPIA

Following a recent federal offensive, Tigrayan forces have largely withdrawn from neighbouring Amhara and Afar regions and federal authorities have said they will not pursue them…

Ethiopia’s widening conflict will extend uncertainty

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ETHIOPIA

In response, federal-aligned authorities have started mobilising regional militias and even armed civilians to bolster their regular forces. Both have raised fears of an…

Ethiopia’s first step towards peace faces major risks

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ETHIOPIA

The Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) responded by indicating that they would respect a ceasefire if aid does indeed begin to flow. The truce has potential to bring relief…