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Run-off campaign reflects social divisions in Brazil

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BRAZIL

Lula and Bolsonaro together received 91.6% of valid votes in the first round on October 2. This result reflects society’s profound polarisation. At the same time, although voting…

Prospects for African politics to end-2018

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PROSPECTS H2 2018

Prospects for African politics to end-2018.

Flawed Sierra Leone vote will bring few consequences

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SIERRA LEONE

Bio won with 56.2% of the vote, just above the 55% threshold required to win in the first round. The SLPP won 81 of the 135 directly elected parliamentary seats. However…

Turkey’s defence industry is set for growth

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TURKEY

A major milestone was showcased in February, as KAAN, the country’s first domestically produced fifth-generation combat aircraft, made its maiden flight. The aircraft is equipped…

US shift boosts hopes of Venezuela dialogue progress

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VENEZUELA

Optimism is building that there will be progress in dialogue efforts between President Nicolas Maduro's government and US-recognised ‘interim president’ Juan Guaido. The current…

Weaker AKP would reduce Turkish president's authority

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TURKEY

The ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) should easily get the most votes, but it faces a likely setback and a dent in its authority. Weakening support from its voters and…

South Africa's Ramaphosa faces reform hurdles

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SOUTH AFRICA

Under President Cyril Ramaphosa, the ANC improved on its historic low of 53.91% in the 2016 local elections but fell short of its 62.15% tally in 2014's general elections…

Madagascar's presidential poll may not end instability

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MADAGASCAR

Rajoelina was installed as president following a military coup that toppled Ravalomanana in 2009. Following four years of protracted negotiations and pressure from international…

Kenya devolution hurt by local political contests

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KENYA

Devolution in Kenya.

Somalia's federal consolidation will face strains

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SOMALIA

Several other member states also face internal challenges as the federal government and donors seek to consolidate the country’s federal architecture and improve security under…