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Demographic-focused policies would raise global growth

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INTERNATIONAL

The end of population growth in many countries threatens GDP growth prospects, while the rise in life expectancy and an expanding dependent population threaten fiscal…

Industry 4.0 will arrive unevenly

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INTERNATIONAL

Outlook for industry 4.0.

Prospects for the global economy in 2022

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PROSPECTS 2022

Services and investment should recover this year but all regions are vulnerable to disruptions. Many supply-side strains will persist, as will the energy, transport and labour…

Immigration is key to US job market and economic plans

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UNITED STATES

Behind this workforce expansion is higher immigration that has allowed considerably more new jobs without raising real wages. Immigration explains some of the strength in…

Emerging Asia activity will slow despite China rebound

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INTERNATIONAL

ASEAN's growth is nevertheless expected to outpace global growth, of which China and India are expected to contribute more than 50% -- India about 15% and China around 35%.

Inflation expectations matter more than unemployment

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INTERNATIONAL

The surge in inflation this year owes more to supply bottlenecks caused by the release of pent-up demand than to falling unemployment. In the decade before the pandemic, US…

Prospects for the global economy to end-2021

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PROSPECTS H2 2021

However, supply is struggling to keep pace with demand, and dislocation effects plus shortages of some critical goods and workers are raising prices. GDP growth forecasts for 2021…

Part-remote-part-office work models will evolve

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INTERNATIONAL

Employers' desire to get their employees back together in person will be at odds with most employees' wish for more remote working, post-pandemic. How the return to work is…

Prospects for the global economy in 2017

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PROSPECTS 2017

Prospects for the global economy in 2017.

Kazakhstan will push industrialisation programme

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KAZAKHSTAN

This follows an earlier vote in favour (104-0) by the lower house, the Mazhilis, on February 18. An early election this year is now increasingly likely. The official reason given…