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Nigeria’s north-east displacement crisis will persist

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NIGERIA

Attacks by Boko Haram’s factions in north-eastern Nigeria have increased significantly in recent months. Ahead of the 2019 general election, President Muhammadu Buhari’s…

Burundi's crisis could have a regional security effect

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BURUNDI

While the Security Council vote reflects concern about Burundi's crisis, the protests are the latest example of the problems the international community confronts in trying to…

Islamist influence will grow in Bangladesh

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BANGLADESH

The government promised severe action against the perpetrators, many of whom support hard-line Islamist parties and pressure groups. Although the attacks attracted widespread…

Jordan’s debt levels are sustainable for the present

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JORDAN

Despite a series of IMF programmes since 1989, public sector debt levels have climbed to worrying heights, driven by deficits on both fiscal and current account accounts. Jordan’s…

Syrian regime poised to defeat rebels in Aleppo

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SYRIA

The United States, Russia and other international powers agreed a cessation of hostilities in Munich last week, scheduled to begin on February 18. However, the deal requires…

Oil sanctions will not bring rapid change in Venezuela

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VENEZUELA

President Nicolas Maduro’s beleaguered government will seek to sidestep sanctions on the Venezuelan oil sector announced by the United States on January 28. Some technical aspects…

Kwamouth unrest underscores Congo local conflict risks

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CONGO-KINSHASA

Despite various political missions aimed at calming tensions from customary chiefs, national and provincial politicians and UN officials, the situation remains extremely fragile.

Tunisian president will leverage migration pressure

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TUNISIA

A rising number of Tunisians and sub-Saharan migrants are departing from Tunisia in often fatal attempts to reach Europe. Improved weather conditions worsen the situation, while…

Chad faces dire humanitarian picture after polls

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CHAD

His nomination to run for yet another term met large protests in major towns including N'Djamena, where fighting broke out with security forces leading to arrests. In the last…

Zagreb could shut Serbia border again

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CROATIA/SERBIA

The short-lived trade war between Serbia and Croatia, seemingly winding down, demonstrates how the crisis generated in Europe by the influx of refugees and migrants has the…