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Israel-Hamas-Hezbollah manoeuvring endangers Lebanon

Location:

PALESTINIANS/ISRAEL/LEBANON

The killing of Hamas leaders abroad follows existing Israeli policy. However, the greater significance stems from the challenge presented to the wider Iranian ‘Axis of…

Local tensions will sustain Iraq’s returns challenge

Location:

IRAQ

Five years after its collapse, IS has a declining presence in Iraq. However, the question of how to deal with the many displaced people perceived as being associated with the…

Syria’s Islamic State legacy problem could go critical

Location:

SYRIA

It claimed to be avenging SDF treatment of detainees at Al-Hol camp, which holds thousands of women and children linked to IS. Ongoing security threats and regional dynamics are…

More Syrians will go hungry, at home and abroad

Location:

SYRIA

Donors have over the past year sharply cut humanitarian assistance to Syrians both inside and outside the country, citing funding shortfalls and record levels of global need. Food…

Turkey will face a long-term refugee problem

Location:

TURKEY

The EU has committed billions of euros to help Turkey deal with the impact of those refugees, but EU auditors said on April 24 that they could not determine the impact of that…

Limits to Russia’s ties with Turkey will persist

Location:

RUSSIA

Energy ties, already deep, have expanded since 2022 as part of a broader reorientation of Russian commerce away from the West. The similarly authoritarian leadership styles of…

Turkish foreign policy will seek a power balance

Location:

TURKEY

Turkey’s confrontation with the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) is a key driver of regional and to some extent international policy. Erdogan’s comfortable victory in the May 2023…

Syria’s mild economic recovery faces major constraints

Location:

SYRIA

The economy is not showing serious ill effects from the overspill of the conflict in Gaza or recent aid cuts. The government may even have derived some additional financial…

Black Sea Fleet projects Russian power westwards

Location:

RUSSIA

The growing power of the Russian navy in the Black Sea region.

Violence may evolve but not end in Russia's Chechnya

Location:

RUSSIA

Kadyrov said he helped plan the operation in which Byutukayev and his five remaining followers died. It may be premature to declare an end to violence: attacks on security forces…