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Early Turkish elections could upset investor optimism

Location:

TURKEY

The marked improvement in sentiment towards Turkish assets since mid-January.

Saudi-Iran escalation will prolong regional conflicts

Location:

IRAN/SAUDI ARABIA

The protests came in reaction to Saudi Arabia's surprise decision to execute prominent Shia cleric Nimr al-Nimr, who was imprisoned for his role in anti-government protests in…

Lebanon will bargain for more Syrian refugee returns

Location:

LEBANON/SYRIA

The country’s economic crisis and the Christian community's demographic fears have increased anti-refugee sentiment, which politicians weaponised around the May 2022 elections. In…

Middle East refugee return would destabilise situation

Location:

MIDDLE EAST

Regional host countries are increasingly calling for the voluntary or forced return of Syrian refugees at a time when Western countries are distracted by the flow of Ukrainian…

Migration trends will alter Turkish election outcome

Location:

TURKEY

The latest data published by TurkStat confirms Turkey as a destination for immigration rather than a source of emigration. Migration, boosted by the high number of Syrian refugees…

Turkish incursion into Syria needs Russian green light

Location:

SYRIA

President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has repeated his threat of May 23 to invade Syria to "complete" a 30-kilometre-deep ‘safe zone’ and push Kurdish groups away from the border…

Gaza war will hit non-oil Middle East economies hard

Location:

MIDDLE EAST

The conflict will damage the economic prospects of Israel, Egypt and Jordan, even without a major regional escalation. The Gulf Arab states, Iraq and Algeria will benefit from the…

Normalising Syrian-Turkish relations faces challenges

Location:

SYRIA/TURKEY

Turkey has dropped its insistence on regime change in Syria as it seeks to defuse a domestic crisis over Syrian refugees and to contain Kurdish aspirations. Normalisation could…

Iran and Turkey will compartmentalise relations

Location:

IRAN/TURKEY

As the new US administration seeks to re-engage with Iran, both Washington and Ankara have launched negotiations with Tehran's enemy Saudi Arabia. Iran and Turkey have major…

International ground force unlikely in Syria

Location:

SYRIA/INT

While intensified air attacks will help weaken and contain ISG, they will not destroy it unless accompanied by a substantial ground force to defeat ISG on the ground. However, the…