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Hungarian monetary policy risks disorderly forint fall

Location:

CENTRAL EUROPE

This is despite a spike in core inflation. The three central banks of Central Europe (CE) are on a loosening cycle, responding aggressively to the COVID-19-induced collapse in…

Emerging Europe will weather storm from China

Location:

EUROPE

The currency and debt markets of Central-Eastern Europe (CEE) are proving resilient to fallout from the turmoil in China's financial markets, now the primary determinant of…

Room for more rate cuts is limited in Central Europe

Location:

CENTRAL EUROPE

Policy implications of the downward pressure on inflation from the renewed oil price decline.

Lifting COVID-19 measures may hit resilient eastern EU

Location:

EU

Available second-quarter data indicate a shallower recession in most of the eleven eastern EU member states (EU-11) than the rest of the EU in January-June. This may be due to a…

Afghan drug production could boom

Location:

AFGHANISTAN

Anti-drugs rhetoric from senior Taliban figures is intended to allay such concerns, but a sustainable anti-opium strategy would be difficult and destabilising for the Taliban to…

Hungarian forint is increasingly vulnerable to attack

Location:

CENTRAL EUROPE

Central banks’ policy dilemmas.

Central Europe may cut rates despite high inflation

Location:

EASTERN EUROPE

Lower wholesale natural gas prices have improved balance-of-payments and fiscal positions and driven down inflation rates in Central Europe (CE). Financial markets are pricing in…

Monetary policy will remain loose in Central Europe

Location:

CENTRAL EUROPE

Factors keeping monetary policy loose, despite stronger growth.

Policy risks will dog Europe's emerging markets

Location:

EUROPE

Political and policy risks in Emerging Europe.

Prospects for emerging economies in 2019

Location:

PROSPECTS 2019

Prospects for emerging economies in 2019.