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Gaza war will test Saudi-Iranian rapprochement

Location:

IRAN/SAUDI ARABIA

The call was the first between the leaders since Tehran and Riyadh restored diplomatic relations in March 2023. As well signalling a positive step in building relations, it was…

Qatar faces difficult balancing act in ties with Iran

Location:

QATAR

Escalating tensions between the United States and Iran threaten to derail Qatar's delicate geostrategic position as a small, albeit wealthy, fish in a big pond. Qatar has much to…

Nuclear deal will not moderate Iran's regional policy

Location:

IRAN

Tehran's regional ties have been strained by its support for Syria's President Bashar al-Assad, Hezbollah in Lebanon, Shia militias in Iraq, and sectarian groups in the Gulf. The…

Ethiopia and Eritrea will leverage border clash

Location:

ERITREA/ETHIOPIA

Tentative shifts in Eritrea's regional and global relations -- related to the conflict in Yemen and to Eritrean migration to Europe -- have raised the prospect that the country…

Russia will save Assad to be part of Syria's endgame

Location:

RUSSIA

Russia's significant recent reinforcement of the Assad regime with the deployment of combat aircraft around Lattakia.

Gulf rivals will likely increase US lobbying efforts

Location:

GULF STATES

Gulf states lobbying in the United States.

Egypt's stability turns on economy, Ethiopia and Libya

Location:

EGYPT

While domestically stable, Egypt’s external outlook has focused on countries that have the potential to stir turmoil for Egypt, such as Libya and Ethiopia, while maintaining a…

Israel, Hamas may slide into new Gaza conflict in 2016

Location:

MIDDLE EAST

The Israel Defence Forces (IDF) are now searching intensively for new tunnels on the Israeli side of the border, while Israel's leadership is warning Hamas of consequences if the…

Qatar and Turkey will defend their Hamas ties

Location:

QATAR/TURKEY

Doha has avoided condemning Hamas’s actions, instead blaming Israel for the escalation in Gaza, while Erdogan dubs Hamas a “liberation group”. Unsurprisingly, the United States is…

Divisions will hamper Saudi regional security alliance

Location:

SAUDI ARABIA

Saudi Arabia's Sunni Arab alliance.