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French forces completed their withdrawal from Mali in August. The current force posture, with some 3,000 troops based mostly in Niger and Chad, will remain unchanged in the short…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB273997
ISSN: 2633-304X
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The coup leaders are adamant that they should be allowed to lead the transition, while ECOWAS insists that they should hand over to an interim civilian government.
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB256368
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Out of ECOWAS’s 15 member states, only Togo and The Gambia do not have a two-term stipulation. However, the regional organisation is pushing for every member state to set such…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB224717
ISSN: 2633-304X
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While the overall number of incidents is fewer than a dozen since the rise of the region's jihadist insurgencies in the early 2010s, the trend lends credence to growing warnings…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB263451
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Outlook for Islamist militancy in West Africa.
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB210246
ISSN: 2633-304X
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French President Emmanuel Macron announced in June that France's Sahel-focused Operation Barkhane would wind down by early 2022. Although the actual drawdown plans are still…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB263631
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Despite the crackdown, FNDC-led protests are likely to intensify to try to disrupt the October 18 poll. However, Conde’s main concern is not the recurring protests, but rather…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB256622
ISSN: 2633-304X
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There is no consistent regional norm on this issue. Third term bids are often destabilising, but leaders that opt to respect term limits and hand off power to a close associate…
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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB266713
ISSN: 2633-304X
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Opposition victories, especially those that remove long-standing authoritarian regimes, have been associated with democratic strengthening, with transfers of power shown to boost…