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Ethiopia and Eritrea face complex path to peace

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ETHIOPIA/ERITREA

Isaias’s announcement follows Ethiopia’s June 5 offer to implement unconditionally the 2000 peace agreement that purportedly ended the 1998-2000 border war between them. Any…

India’s role in regional maritime security will grow

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INDIA

Separately, the IN’s presence in the Arabian Sea has increased markedly since December, in response to threats associated with the fallout from the Israel-Gaza war. Defence…

China will refrain from Red Sea intervention

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CHINA

CHINA: Beijing will refrain from Red Sea intervention

Iran-Israel confrontation path will depend on US talks

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IRAN/ISRAEL

The next day, one of the largest ships in Iran’s navy, the IRIS Kharg, caught fire and sank, and several storage tanks blazed for hours at a state-owned oil refinery in Tehran…

The United States has few good options in Yemen

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YEMEN

Previous US-led strikes had failed to disrupt the Huthis’ ability to strike targets in the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden. There are now indications that the administration is being…

Riyadh will delay attack on Yemen's Hodeida port

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YEMEN

The Saudi-led coalition's much-publicised plan to launch a military attack against the main Red Sea port of Hodeida, currently controlled by Huthi militants and their allies, is…

Egyptian-Iranian ties are heading for an upgrade

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EGYPT/IRAN

Egyptian President Abdel-Fattah el-Sisi spoke with his Iranian counterpart, Ebrahim Raisi, on December 23, the first phone call between the two leaders. Egypt’s contacts with Iran…

Riyadh will expand international defence cooperation

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SAUDI ARABIA

These efforts will now be advanced by the German foreign minister's January 7 lifting of a veto on the delivery of Eurofighter aircraft to Riyadh. Berlin had previously opposed…

The Huthis will grow more emboldened within Yemen

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YEMEN

These shifts were already underway before the airstrikes began in November 2023. Notably, factions within the Islamist Islah political party have publicly and privately expressed…

Abu Dhabi will pivot to ‘soft power’ security policies

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UNITED ARAB EMIRATES

UAE military engagement abroad since the 1990s has earned it the nickname ‘Little Sparta’. Its activities included a lengthy mission alongside NATO forces in Afghanistan and…