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Baku will resist a quick peace deal with Armenia

Location:

ARMENIA

The latest round of talks between Armenia and Azerbaijan in Geneva on March 22 ended without any concrete progress on negotiations over a bilateral peace agreement. The meeting…

Yemen's oil and gas revival hopes will be dashed

Location:

YEMEN

Reports suggest progress on several issues, including the mechanism for paying civil servants’ salaries. The possibility that the war will wind down opens the question of whether…

Moldova seeks closer EU ties due to Ukraine war risks

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MOLDOVA

"Ukraine isn't Russia's only target," he warned. For the moment, Moldovan leaders are downplaying, even publicly ignoring, the existence of military threat. Instead, they are…

Myanmar’s Russia ties will grow stronger

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MYANMAR

Separately, Russian arms transfers to Naypyidaw are fuelling the conflict between the junta and its armed opponents. Among the countries that remain close to Myanmar, Russia and…

China unable to fix Russia’s energy problems

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RUSSIA/CHINA

Beijing opposes Western sanctions on Russia but does not want to be harmed by them. Nevertheless, the prospect of a European embargo on Russian hydrocarbons could offer China the…

The EU will encounter obstacles in the South Caucasus

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CAUCASUS

This follows years of the region being regarded as of peripheral interest to Brussels. Nonetheless, relations have not always been smooth.

Russia’s war in Ukraine puts Gazprom at risk

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RUSSIA

In October the government of Moldova decided to cease buying natural gas from Gazprom, having secured sufficient supplies from alternative sources at a lower price. Although…

Ukraine war will erode its Visegrad neighbours’ unity

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EASTERN EUROPE

The war delivered a shock to Europe’s post-Cold War order -- its security, peace and stability. Economically, it marks a turn in global trade relations, supply chains and energy…

Yemen's north-south economic divide will persist

Location:

YEMEN

Aid commitments are on a downward trajectory. In 2022, donors extended over USD2.2bn in assistance out of a budgeted USD4.27bn. Meanwhile, talks are underway between Saudi Arabia…

Austrian exit from Russian gas is far from assured

Location:

AUSTRIA

Russia's share of Austrian gas imports was cut sharply in the wake of the February 2022 invasion of Ukraine but has now returned to pre-war levels. Austria’s ability to accelerate…