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Ukrainian grain dispute is likely to drag on

Location:

UKRAINE

A glut of Ukrainian agricultural products has driven down prices in neighbouring countries, prompting several governments to impose unilateral import bans. Protests by Polish…

Russian household consumption is recovering slowly

Location:

RUSSIA

This was the first acceleration after twelve consecutive declines and was driven by an 11% rise in the prices of services. The war in Ukraine has exposed Russia’s consumers to…

War and sanctions will hit Russian consumer spending

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RUSSIA

The cost will increase pressure on households already experiencing declining real incomes and worrying about the military mobilisation which the government says has taken 300,000…

Prospects for the United States in the second quarter

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PROSPECTS Q2 2015

Prospects for the United States in the second quarter.

Inflation could rise again in Russia in 2023

Location:

RUSSIA

Inflation has subsided owing to base effects. War, sanctions, geopolitical isolation and economic restructuring have already undermined population living standards, with poorer…

Croatia will watch whether euro adoption raises prices

Location:

CROATIA

After implementing its anti-inflationary stabilisation programme in 1993, Croatia recorded stable and modest inflation rates. That changed in 2022, when inflation accelerated…

Militarisation will cause rising distortions in Russia

Location:

RUSSIA

Record levels of defence spending have led to surging demand for inputs used to manufacture military equipment, driving up output across various sectors. However, evidence of…

Chances for negotiated Serbia-Kosovo deal are fading

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KOSOVO

The Kosovan government imposed a 10% tariff on imports from Serbia and Bosnia-Hercegovina (BiH) on November 6, frustrated at their refusal to recognise Kosovo’s independence…

Prospects for the EU in 2023

Location:

PROSPECTS 2023

Prospects for the EU in 2023.

The Gaza war will worsen Jordan’s long-term debt risk

Location:

JORDAN

He was speaking at the signing ceremony for the first USD845mn grant bolstering the national budget, under a new agreement signed this year. The Gaza war has exacerbated concerns…