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Arevalo will steer gradual improvements in Guatemala

Location:

GUATEMALA

Arevalo’s victory marks a shift in Guatemalan politics. After years of democratic backsliding, Arevalo promises a slow, partial recovery of transparency and the rule of law. His…

Egypt will struggle to meet basic needs

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EGYPT

Cairo is now making direct purchases instead of using tenders to get wheat on favourable terms, including a purchase of Russian wheat from a trading firm earlier in September. The…

Economic improvement in Chile will remain moderate

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CHILE

The figures also indicate that the imbalances created by pandemic-related injections of liquidity in 2000 and 2021 have largely been corrected.

Georgia will face serious obstacles to EU membership

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GEORGIA

Georgia officially embarked on the path to EU membership along with Ukraine and Moldova shortly after Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine. Despite Tbilisi not meeting the…

Prospects for the euro-area in 2024

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PROSPECTS 2024

GDP contracted by 0.1% quarter-on-quarter in July-September, according to updated estimates from Eurostat this month, having grown by 0.2% in the second quarter and not at all in…

Risks threaten optimistic Greek growth forecasts

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GREECE

After the 2021-22 post-pandemic rebound, growth is stabilising at around 2%. Barring new external shocks, it is expected to remain at this level in the coming years. Improved…

China’s 5nm chip capability deepens Western concern

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CHINA

This level of sophistication is not the most advanced on the market: Apple’s M3 chips, as well as the A17 powering the most recent version of the iPhone, use 3nm chips.

Fiscal and external challenges lie ahead for Panama

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PANAMA

Panama has demonstrated resilience and maintained economic momentum, despite challenges such as reduced traffic through the drought-stricken Panama Canal and the closure, after…

Limits to Russia’s ties with Turkey will persist

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RUSSIA

Energy ties, already deep, have expanded since 2022 as part of a broader reorientation of Russian commerce away from the West. The similarly authoritarian leadership styles of…

Cuban discontent will be muted despite economic woes

Location:

CUBA

At the same time, private businesses have been allowed to import as never before. New privately owned shops caters to those with hard currency, but for most people the economic…