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Turkey will face a long-term refugee problem

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TURKEY

The EU has committed billions of euros to help Turkey deal with the impact of those refugees, but EU auditors said on April 24 that they could not determine the impact of that…

Scandal may change direction of Uganda’s NUP party

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UGANDA

Mpuuga has been accused of corruption, and Wine and the NUP have called for his resignation. However, Mpuuga has rejected these calls, claiming he is the victim of a political…

Weak opposition will buy Nigeria's Tinubu time

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NIGERIA

Nevertheless, it remains mired in many of the same basic governance and security challenges that derailed its predecessors. There is little evidence that it has a plan to address…

Iraq's militias will move to consolidate power

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IRAQ

The militias have targeted Israel but largely avoided targeting US bases, for fear of Washington's retaliation and to reduce tensions with their own government. The attacks on…

New term to bring new issues for El Salvador’s Bukele

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EL SALVADOR

However, problems with the count have delayed an official result. Bukele, who has already served nearly a full term as president, circumvented a constitutional ban on re-election…

South Korea’s ruling party is at risk of poll defeat

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SOUTH KOREA

Yoon’s gaffes and misjudgements have cost him support ahead of the polls, although turnout and the impact of third parties remain possible swing factors.

Mexico’s Sheinbaum looks set to maintain AMLO’s legacy

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MEXICO

The constitution prohibits President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO) from standing again. However, given his continuing personal popularity and dominance of the ruling National…

Tehran will prioritise conservative consolidation

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IRAN

Many centrist and reformist candidates have been disqualified or declined to stand. This, together with the poor state of the economy and resentment over money spent abroad on…

Power struggle mars Somalia’s constitutional reform

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SOMALIA

The proposals must be approved in a referendum but have already drawn opposition accusations of a power grab by the president. Most notably, Puntland’s president has said his…

Hungary may stop delaying Sweden joining NATO soon

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HUNGARY

Orban made the announcement during his annual State of the Nation address. For 18 months, Budapest has delayed ratifying Sweden’s NATO membership, over Stockholm's criticism of…