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German election results point to three-party coalition

Location:

GERMANY

However, the result is overshadowed by the heavy losses her Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and its Bavarian sister party, the Christian Social Union (CSU), incurred and a surge…

EU-US relations may be at a turning point

Location:

EU/US

Trump first snubbed the EU on April 30 with a mere postponement of possible tariffs and then humiliated the E3 (Germany, France and the United Kingdom) on May 8 with his decision…

Idlib will weaken but not break Turkish-Russian ties

Location:

TURKEY

Tensions have risen since Syrian government shelling killed seven Turkish soldiers and a civilian contractor in north-western Syria on February 3. Although President Recep Tayyip…

US dollar has firm fundamentals despite market doubts

Location:

UNITED STATES

The Dow Jones US stock market index rose above 20,000 for the first time on January 25 but in contrast the dollar has weakened recently, betraying investor nerves about upcoming…

Austria may struggle to find a stable government

Location:

AUSTRIA

Austria's election implications.

Prospects for the euro-area economy to end-2022

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2022

Prospects for the euro-area economy to end-2022.

Yen surge to question global monetary easing's effects

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Despite aggressive easing by both the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and the ECB, including negative interest rates, the lowering of expectations over the scale and pace of rate hikes by the…

Strong data increase pressure on ECB to wind down QE

Location:

EURO-AREA

Outlook for euro-area uantitative easing.

German parties are preparing for early elections

Location:

GERMANY

Update on the German government.

Markets may misjudge risk of Greek exit from euro-area

Location:

GREECE/EURO-AREA

While the scope for widespread contagion across Southern Europe is much more limited this time around because of the new ownership structure of Greece's public debt -- more than…