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Obdurate Putin will obstruct end to Ukraine war

Location:

RUSSIA/UKRAINE

These comments by one of Russia's less hawkish adversaries reflect pessimism about the chances of identifying a route to conflict resolution. Nonetheless, the first anniversary of…

China will largely abide by Hong Kong handover terms

Location:

HONG KONG

This case adds to a growing list of incidents, including the abduction of five Hong Kong booksellers by mainland agents in 2015, that feed fears in Hong Kong that Beijing is…

EU must compete with other powers for Balkan influence

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BALKANS/EU

EU's rivals in Western Balkans.

China and South Korea will disengage as ties sour

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CHINA/SOUTH KOREA

Seoul in June accused China’s ambassador of violating diplomatic protocols and interfering in South Korea's internal affairs. Later that month, Seoul cleared the way for full…

Belarus polls show systemic limits to reform

Location:

BELARUS

Belarus's managed elections.

Prospects for the EU to end-2016

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2016

Prospects for the EU to end-2016.

Few anti-poverty efforts likely in Mexico pre-election

Location:

MEXICO

Poverty.

Politics will check scope of US retrenchment abroad

Location:

UNITED STATES

President Barack Obama has drawn criticism from traditional US allies over a series of interviews with Jeffrey Goldberg of The Atlantic magazine entitled 'The Obama Doctrine', in…

Prospects for China in 2021

Location:

PROSPECTS 2021

The internal cycles of China’s governance systems will nonetheless force its leaders to formulate long-term plans and visions that will guide policymaking for years and in some…

Kokang conflict will damage China-Myanmar ties

Location:

MYANMAR

The fallout from the violence in Kokang.