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Mexico’s Sheinbaum looks set to maintain AMLO’s legacy

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MEXICO

The constitution prohibits President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO) from standing again. However, given his continuing personal popularity and dominance of the ruling National…

Pressure for water access will intensify in Mexico

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MEXICO

Reducing water supplies are an established problem in the area, and recent events highlight long-term mismanagement of the water-supply infrastructure that has allowed the…

Prospects for Russia in 2024

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PROSPECTS 2024

Vladimir Putin is almost certain to run and win, keeping him in power for at least six more years. Neither the war with Ukraine, nor an inflation-strained economy, are likely to…

Afghanistan’s economic outlook is bleak

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AFGHANISTAN

Afghanistan’s ruling Taliban want production to expand to 19,000 b/d shortly. They are counting on the extractives sector to help boost revenue and shore up the flailing economy.

North Macedonia vote may delay move to free EU impasse

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NORTH MACEDONIA

Polls suggest the opposition Internal Macedonian Revolutionary Organisation-Party for Macedonian National Unity (VMRO-DPMNE) will win the parliamentary elections, although the…

Weak policing hampers South Africa’s crime response

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SOUTH AFRICA

However, the policing response has been beset by deficiencies of leadership, resources and policies, compounded by structural weaknesses that are the legacy of state capture.

Yemen’s anti-Huthi front is unlikely to regain force

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YEMEN

The PLC is deeply divided, and economic conditions are deteriorating. There is no indication of improved governance in the southern areas of Yemen that it holds, despite the…

Kremlin will tighten control over information space

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RUSSIA

This has enabled the leadership to manage vulnerabilities ahead of a vote intended to legitimise President Vladimir Putin's continued rule. However, the authorities’ efforts to…

Women's rights will help boost Rabat's image

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MOROCCO

In a March 4 speech, former Prime Minister Abdelilah Benkirane, currently secretary-general of the Islamist-leaning Justice and Development Party (PJD), threatened a…