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Congo's Kabila will try to revive his political base

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CONGO-KINSHASA

Congo's political outlook.

Stronger Angolan opposition unlikely to triumph

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ANGOLA

With Dos Santos set to step down as president following this year's legislative elections, the country’s opposition is emboldened and hopes to capitalise on apparent disunity and…

Vote breakdown will shape Nigeria poll outcome

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NIGERIA

Scenarios for Nigeria's presidential and legislative elections.

South Africa's Magashule will test Ramaphosa's power

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SOUTH AFRICA

Despite his arrest, Magashule has flouted a ruling that party officials charged with criminal offences must stand down. A key ally of former President Jacob Zuma (2009-18), the…

South Africa president's impeachment process may stall

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SOUTH AFRICA

The report found that Ramaphosa may have violated the Constitution in matters related to the theft of large amounts of US currency from his farm in early 2020 and subsequent…

Congo's anti-third term protests spell fragile period

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CONGO-BRAZZAVILLE

Political economy outlook for the Republic of Congo.

Divided ANC undermines Ramaphosa’s capacity to govern

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SOUTH AFRICA

These challenges are interlinked, and all threaten Ramaphosa’s standing over the medium term. They also influence Ramaphosa’s ability to manage an intensely divided ANC, with…

Kenya court’s BBI rebuff may throw 2022 poll wide open

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KENYA

If the ruling stands, it would force authorities to abandon plans for a national referendum on the reforms.

Consensus may be key to Sudan pro-democracy battle

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SUDAN

The draft stipulates that the military will have no role in politics or the economy -- a key demand of anti-coup protesters -- but is yet to win unequivocal support from protest…

Unity will be elusive despite new South Sudan cabinet

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SOUTH SUDAN

It follows rebel leader Riek Machar's return to the capital and inauguration as vice-president on April 26. The TGNU's formation is central to the peace agreement signed in August…