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Global jihadi rivalries may weaken media message

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Al-Qaida (AQ) and ISG use propaganda to shape public opinion, increase fear and project strength, and to affect perceptions about their strategic goals. Their media output has…

Leadership losses will weaken ISG in Iraq, Syria

Location:

SYRIA/IRAQ

The elimination of top- and mid-level cadres in US-led coalition airstrikes comes at a time when the group is also suffering serious battlefield losses. The strikes raise…

Sudanese opposition will fail to challenge the NCP

Location:

SUDAN

Sudan’s ruling party, its capabilities and political implications.

Tepid international engagement will fail war-hit Sudan

Location:

SUDAN

He called for the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF), with which the army has been engaged in devastating hostilities since April, to be designated a terrorist organisation…

Ethiopia's national dialogue faces deep divisions

Location:

ETHIOPIA

The process has so far been mired by delays, leadership issues, capacity concerns and, crucially, a lack of confidence among key stakeholders. These notably include Oromo…

North Yemen partners will hold their alliance together

Location:

YEMEN

This followed rumours that Saleh was under house arrest and his supporters were fleeing, after clashes with the Huthis resulted in the death of a pro-Saleh army officer. The…

Squabbling Syrian rebels will avoid showdown

Location:

SYRIA

In Damascus, HTS collaborated with more moderate groups from the Free Syrian Army (FSA). Elsewhere, however, the rebels are deeply divided. HTS, the latest avatar of the former…

Ethiopia’s Amhara conflict may be protracted

Location:

ETHIOPIA

Following an extension of the state of emergency in February, new army offensives, including around the regional capital, Bahir Dar, have intensified the conflict. Reports of…

Syria’s Deraa will see chronic instability and poverty

Location:

SYRIA

This came as Damascus blamed a former rebel leader for the May 4 abduction and killing of nine policemen in the nearby town of Muzayrib. The security situation in Deraa, which…

Prospects for East Africa and the Great Lakes in 2019

Location:

PROSPECTS 2019

Prospects for East Africa and the Great Lakes in 2019.