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Vietnam will be wary of getting too close to China

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VIETNAM

Vietnam has a policy of ‘cooperation and struggle’ towards China. The two sides have robust economic ties, but there are long-standing political and cultural tensions between them.

EU foreign policy fragmentation will increase

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EU

Structural challenges to EU foreign policy.

Switzerland will be slow to harden its China position

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SWITZERLAND/CHINA

Among the priorities in the declaration is updating the Swiss-Chinese free trade agreement (FTA) and simplifying travel procedures between the two countries. Switzerland’s…

China will prioritise domestic over foreign policy

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CHINA

President Xi Jinping in a speech commended the accomplishments of China’s leadership since he came to power over a decade ago. At a time when China faces growing economic…

South Korean politics will become further destabilised

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SOUTH KOREA

This prompted President Yoon Suk-yeol’s nominee for gender equality minister to withdraw. The same day, prosecutors indicted DPK leader Lee Jae-myung on corruption charges.

Prospects for China in 2021

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PROSPECTS 2021

The internal cycles of China’s governance systems will nonetheless force its leaders to formulate long-term plans and visions that will guide policymaking for years and in some…

Prospects for East Asia to end-2021

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PROSPECTS 2021 H2

Prospects for East Asia to end-2021.

Singapore will emerge strongly from COVID-19 crisis

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SINGAPORE

In early April, Deputy Prime Minister Heng Swee Keat announced that he was stepping aside as Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong’s designated successor. The key challenge in foreign…

India-UK relations will strengthen markedly

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INDIA/UK

Delhi and London have a strategic partnership, but relations have for many years been lukewarm. Each side has talked up the prospect of a bilateral free trade agreement (FTA).

Some cooperation is possible in next US Congress

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UNITED STATES

At best, Democrats can tie the Senate 50-50, controlling it after January 20 with the Democratic US vice-president’s vote. Otherwise, Republicans will have a small majority to…