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Ukraine issue will become domestic before US elections

Location:

UNITED STATES

Kyiv has long sought supplies of cluster munitions, pointing to their use by Russia in Ukraine, but Biden’s decision has caused controversy among some Democrats who see it as…

Hungary’s Orban will probably survive Bicske scandal

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HUNGARY

Fidesz has suffered three high-profile political casualties following the presidential pardon for Endre Konya, who tried to cover up for a child abuser: President Katalin Novak…

Hungary may stop delaying Sweden joining NATO soon

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HUNGARY

Orban made the announcement during his annual State of the Nation address. For 18 months, Budapest has delayed ratifying Sweden’s NATO membership, over Stockholm's criticism of…

Yemen's Huthis will signal resilience

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YEMEN

This appears to be the first Huthi response to the January 12 US and UK strikes on northern Yemen. On January 13, US President Joe Biden said Washington had delivered a message…

Russian oil exports will be tested in future

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RUSSIA

Most of Russia’s hydrocarbon export revenues are generated from oil now that gas sales have collapsed. Ambitious state spending plans are based on oil revenues rising this year…

China will prioritise domestic over foreign policy

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CHINA

President Xi Jinping in a speech commended the accomplishments of China’s leadership since he came to power over a decade ago. At a time when China faces growing economic…

Qatar and Turkey will defend their Hamas ties

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QATAR/TURKEY

Doha has avoided condemning Hamas’s actions, instead blaming Israel for the escalation in Gaza, while Erdogan dubs Hamas a “liberation group”. Unsurprisingly, the United States is…

Tensions between Uganda and the West may slowly grow

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UGANDA

This bill drew condemnation from the United States, the United Kingdom and other Western countries, triggering much anti-Western rhetoric from Museveni and his regime.

Ethiopia-Egypt water dispute requires tough compromise

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ETHIOPIA/EGYPT

The dam project, situated near the source of the Blue Nile, has long been a centrepiece of Ethiopia’s development plans, but also a major source of tension with downstream…

Prospects for South Africa to end-2023

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PROSPECTS H2 2023

The adverse conditions that drove the rand to record lows in the second quarter of 2023 will likely persist through the remainder of the year, despite 0.4% growth in the first…