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Growing ‘mercenary’ use will sustain Mideast conflicts

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MIDDLE EAST

From US contractors in Iraq and Russian mercenary groups in Syria, to Gulf states’ ‘foreign legions’ in Yemen and multiple Iranian proxy militias, national armies no longer…

Trump’s NATO ire will focus on Germany

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NATO

The NATO mini-summit in Brussels on May 25 will be US President Donald Trump's first meeting with European counterparts in a NATO context, and the first such event with Trump as…

Iran’s SCO inclusion will bring limited security gains

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IRAN

SCO membership will be Tehran’s first experience of a regional defence-security organisation since it withdrew from the Central Treaty Organization (CENTO) in 1979. Iran’s defence…

Prospects for US foreign policy in 2018

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PROSPECTS 2018

Prospects for US foreign policy in 2018.

Prospects for US foreign policy to end-2017

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PROSPECTS H2 2017

Prospects for US foreign policy to end-2017.

NATO summit in July is likely to be fractious

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NATO

The likely summit agenda includes deliverables that will further enhance NATO’s deterrence posture and add new elements to its support for the campaign against Islamic State (IS)…

Iran and Turkey will compartmentalise relations

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IRAN/TURKEY

As the new US administration seeks to re-engage with Iran, both Washington and Ankara have launched negotiations with Tehran's enemy Saudi Arabia. Iran and Turkey have major…

Turkish foreign policy will seek a power balance

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TURKEY

Turkey’s confrontation with the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) is a key driver of regional and to some extent international policy. Erdogan’s comfortable victory in the May 2023…

Better US ties are a short-term boost for Syrian Kurds

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SYRIA

The Kurdish administration is seeking to maximise benefits from much-improved relations with US President Joe Biden, compared with his predecessor. However, economic pressures are…

Syria will struggle more than Iraq with reconstruction

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IRAQ/SYRIA

Iraq and Syria -- neighbours with many economic, political and social connections -- have both been subject to years of destructive armed conflict. They are now looking to…