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Syria-Turkey rapprochement faces many obstacles

Location:

SYRIA/TURKEY

The meeting would be the two leaders' first in eleven years, as the culmination of a meeting of their defence ministers and intelligence chiefs in Moscow in late December and…

US intercession may help Russia-Ukraine de-escalation

Location:

RUSSIA/UKRAINE

An emergency NATO-Ukraine meeting the same day condemned Moscow's activities in terms similar to earlier robust statements from NATO members. The Russian military build-up…

Kiir-Machar talks will not solve South Sudan conflict

Location:

SOUTH SUDAN

International stakeholders hope the meeting can restore momentum to stalled regional peace efforts. However, the bilateral format represents a reversion to the old mediation…

Mali will struggle to bring Kidal under control

Location:

MALI

Symbolic moves in Kidal city recently, such as the display of the Malian national flag and a meeting held by a committee for monitoring the implementation of a 2015 peace accord…

Africa will offer major tests for refugee compact

Location:

AFRICA

Global Compact on Refugees.

Turkish-Russian political tensions will be sustained

Location:

TURKEY/RUSSIA

The meeting could have tried to ease tensions after Turkey shot down a Russian Su-24 close to the Turkish-Syrian border. Putin insisted Ankara first apologise for the incident…

Ukrainian rebel strife will not impact war dynamics

Location:

UKRAINE

Political upheaval in late November in the Luhansk People's Republic (LNR) -- one of two rebel-controlled territories in eastern Ukraine -- has not affected the overall dynamics…

Syria’s frozen conflict will resist normalisation

Location:

SYRIA

The minister also visited the Syrian embassy in Riyadh, which is preparing to reopen. Damascus aims to highlight another example of the Arab return to ‘business as usual’ with…

Russia seeks mediating but not dominant Libyan role

Location:

RUSSIA/LIBYA

Moscow is increasingly involved in Libya in support of a dual ambition to be taken seriously as a regional power and an honest intermediary. As Turkey takes sides in the conflict…

Tensions with northern Mali could be destabilising

Location:

MALI

The CMA fears that the new regime may disregard the 2015 Algiers Accord that ended the rebellion, especially following the appointment of a premier who has previously spoken…