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Rivalry will shape Gulf states’ relations

Location:

GULF STATES

The restoration of diplomatic relations ends a seven-year period of intense competition between the two countries. The deal is a diplomatic agreement and does not address the root…

Ireland’s position towards Israel could harden further

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IRELAND

While stopping short of expelling the Israeli ambassador, Prime Minister Leo Varadkar has criticised Israel’s offensive in Gaza as being disproportionate and openly declared his…

Limits to Russia’s ties with Turkey will persist

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RUSSIA

Energy ties, already deep, have expanded since 2022 as part of a broader reorientation of Russian commerce away from the West. The similarly authoritarian leadership styles of…

Israel-Hamas-Hezbollah manoeuvring endangers Lebanon

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PALESTINIANS/ISRAEL/LEBANON

The killing of Hamas leaders abroad follows existing Israeli policy. However, the greater significance stems from the challenge presented to the wider Iranian ‘Axis of…

Gaza ceasefire might avert looming Israel-Lebanon war

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LEBANON

Hezbollah has been trading limited attacks with the Israeli military since October. However, Israel is warning that, without a negotiated deal to remove Hezbollah forces from its…

Russia will consolidate strong ties in the Gulf

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RUSSIA

Russia seeks to enhance its cooperation with the Gulf Arab states to offset its diplomatic and economic isolation from the West, leveraging its status as a valued security partner…

Russia will seek to benefit from the Israel-Hamas war

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RUSSIA

In the wake of the war between Hamas and Israel, Russia has positioned itself as an important player in the Middle East, which can leverage its working relationships with all the…

Israel’s Gaza war will spill over but not ignite Syria

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SYRIA

Meanwhile, in the same atmosphere of regional escalation, the United States has also targeted sites in Syrian territory as it retaliates against Iran-backed Iraqi armed groups…

EU Israel-Palestine policy will remain contradictory

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EU

The lack of a clear strategy is systemic, arising from the lack of a functioning common EU foreign policy. Stuck in the parameters of the two-state solution and refusing to…

Spain will pursue a ‘progressive’ policy agenda

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SPAIN

The government’s headline policy promises are to be financed by higher taxes and EU funds, while observing the EU's excessive deficit limit. The government’s most contentious and…