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China’s property downturn resolution will take years

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CHINA

The housing market is experiencing its largest downturn, triggered by government action in 2020 to limit financial risks from the property sector by introducing debt ceilings for…

China’s economic targets will get trickier to achieve

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CHINA

The GDP growth target of 5% and the urban job creation target of 12 million are unchanged from last year, but harder to achieve as the post-pandemic rebound fades and large-scale…

Sudan conflict puts pressure on local governance

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SUDAN

Government institutions located in the capital, Khartoum, where major fighting persists, have been severely disrupted. Some have tried to relocate and re-establish themselves in…

Manama will struggle to vary its investor offering

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BAHRAIN

The Economic Development Board (EDB), the country’s investment promotion agency, announced in March that its ‘golden licence’ scheme of incentives for local and foreign investors…

Macron faces political risks over French fiscal woes

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FRANCE

The government is highly dependent on steady GDP growth to meet its pledges on deficit-reduction and tax cuts. It was forced to implement EUR10bn (USD10.7bn) in emergency cuts in…

Algeria will tightly control private enterprise

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ALGERIA

Since his 2019 election, the president has introduced reforms to attract foreign investment, albeit only to a handful of sectors. The president remains opposed to opening the…

Colombia’s new mining law poses regulatory risks

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COLOMBIA

The government proposes banning new contracts for thermal coal exploitation, shortening timeframes for mining exploration and introducing new environmental regulations that could…

New Brazil industrial plan will face uncertainties

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BRAZIL

The plan covers six priority areas: agro-industry, health, infrastructure and mobility, digital transformation, bio-economy and defence. Most of the BRL300bn (USD60bn) in…

Egypt's economy will stand on firmer ground

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EGYPT

Its actions included floating the currency, which triggered a major devaluation, and a 600-basis point increase in its benchmark interest rate to 27.75%. Meanwhile, the government…

Kenya’s new budget targets significantly lower deficit

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KENYA

After redeeming much of its USD2bn Eurobond in February, the government has effectively dispelled fears of a default. Nevertheless, it remains under pressure to consolidate public…