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Regional intervention will aggravate Somali crisis

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SOMALIA

The meeting venue had a symbolic significance, as these key opposition figures are seeking Kenyan support in their standoff with the Federal Government of Somalia (FGS), which…

Niger will look to Western partners to boost security

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NIGER

This represents a key success for Nigerien President Mohamed Bazoum’s policy of leveraging strong relations with Western partners as a core element in his security strategy to…

Jawar’s return may shake up Ethiopian politics

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ETHIOPIA

This was the first time Jawar had spoken out since his release from prison in January, a silence that fed speculation he had struck a deal with Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s…

Congo heads towards a turbulent election season

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CONGO-KINSHASA

The opposition has recently held multiple protests denouncing problems with electoral preparations, which the authorities have firmly suppressed. The elections are due in December.

Kenya will leverage threats of camp closure

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KENYA

Grandi is the latest high-profile figure to urge the government to reconsider its position. Should Dadaab close, over 340,000 refugees would in total be forced from Kenya…

Rising crime will test Uganda’s security sector

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UGANDA

The identities and motives of the attackers remain contested, and police investigations are ongoing. However, two opposition legislators have been charged in connection with the…

Peacekeeping concerns risk instability in East Africa

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EAST AFRICA

Kenya’s actions are the latest setback during a year of troubled regional engagement in peacekeeping operations, in which several regional powers reduced -- or threatened to…

Sudan’s military may play politics with peace talks

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SUDAN

With at least 10,000 fighters under its command across the ‘Two Areas’ (South Kordofan and Blue Nile), a deal with SPLM-N/al-Hilu is seen as critical for consolidating Sudan’s…

Somali security strategy ignores old lessons

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SOMALIA

When his latest term started, the president hinted that he might consider negotiations with al-Shabaab, and he still says he remains open to this. However, following a major…

Ethiopia’s Tigray crisis puts privatisations at risk

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ETHIOPIA

However, amid ongoing conflict in Tigray and considerable political uncertainty around the upcoming elections, the outcome may be disappointing.