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US political divisions will remain deeply entrenched

Location:

UNITED STATES

The January 6 assault on the Capitol, which triggered the impeachment, followed a period in which those divisions reached a new level of intensity.

Protests unnerve but do not threaten Angolan regime

Location:

ANGOLA

Protests over state brutality, corruption and rising inequality have become more frequent in recent years and increased in intensity since the oil price has dropped.

India will defy external pressure over climate policy

Location:

INDIA

The G7 wants leading emitters of greenhouse gases (GHGs) to achieve net-zero emissions by around mid-century, preferably 2050. India’s targeted Nationally Determined Contribution…

Eastern EU may target those vulnerable to inflation

Location:

EU

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine cut the supply of major staples to the Baltic states and the Visegrad Four (V4: Czechia, Hungary, Poland and Slovakia). Local factors, such as import…

India will crack down heavily on Naxalite rebels

Location:

INDIA

Bastar’s seven districts have for decades been the epicentre of a low-intensity conflict between the rebels and the Indian government. In October 2018, the then home minister said…

Pandemic drives changes to global illegal drugs trade

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

The pandemic's impacts are unevenly distributed and mediated by factors such as drug type, business model, supply, manufacture and distribution chains, and intensity of…

Colombia post-war insecurity to preclude defence cuts

Location:

COLOMBIA

Military reform plans.

Moscow will keep North Caucasus from Ukraine spillover

Location:

RUSSIA

As the war in Ukraine could end in catastrophic failure, any spike in the intensity of social unrest in the North Caucasus would have perilous consequences for Russia’s power…

Bonn meetings will be key in global climate deal

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

The most important climate summit since the 1997 Kyoto gathering will open in Paris at end-November, with the goal of producing the first universal binding climate treaty ever…

South Sudan’s government will hinder aid efforts

Location:

SOUTH SUDAN

South Sudan’s civil war is now in its fourth year, during which the intensity and extent of fighting has fluctuated. Despite the notional maintenance of the August 2015 peace…