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Rising Russian investment will cause structural change

Location:

RUSSIA

The war in Ukraine, Western sanctions and the redirection of external trade away from Europe towards new partners all required a surge in investment. The bulk of new investment…

Trade will tighten Gulf-South Korea relations

Location:

GULF STATES/SOUTH KOREA

Previously, in December 2023, South Korea signed a landmark free trade agreement (FTA) with the six-nation Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC), only the bloc’s second with a major…

India’s role in regional maritime security will grow

Location:

INDIA

Separately, the IN’s presence in the Arabian Sea has increased markedly since December, in response to threats associated with the fallout from the Israel-Gaza war. Defence…

Algiers will be wary of dynamics in the south

Location:

ALGERIA

The region has nonetheless seen waves of protests and some inter-communal clashes and terrorism over the past decade and more. Moreover, there are strong grievances in the south…

Threats of instability in Libya abound in 2024

Location:

LIBYA

While a 2020 ceasefire still holds, in the absence of new elections, the political landscape is significantly undermined by institutional rivalry. The country's fragmentation…

Militarisation will cause rising distortions in Russia

Location:

RUSSIA

Record levels of defence spending have led to surging demand for inputs used to manufacture military equipment, driving up output across various sectors. However, evidence of…

Turkey’s defence industry is set for growth

Location:

TURKEY

A major milestone was showcased in February, as KAAN, the country’s first domestically produced fifth-generation combat aircraft, made its maiden flight. The aircraft is equipped…

The short-term impact of Canada's budget will be small

Location:

CANADA

The budget keeps the deficit just inside prescribed limits despite an increase in new spending, by stepping up measures to boost revenue. Initiatives designed to target the…

Limits to Russia’s ties with Turkey will persist

Location:

RUSSIA

Energy ties, already deep, have expanded since 2022 as part of a broader reorientation of Russian commerce away from the West. The similarly authoritarian leadership styles of…

Piracy threat is under control in South-east Asia

Location:

SOUTH-EAST ASIA

The data suggest the Singapore Strait was the top piracy 'black spot' globally during this period. Violence against ships has fallen across the rest of South-east Asia because…