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Optimistic expectations of Colombia’s Petro pose risks

Location:

COLOMBIA

Turnout, at over 58%, was the highest since 1974. Petro’s largest leads were recorded in coastal departments (regions); he also secured a majority in Bogota. Although he has…

Prospects for East Africa in 2022

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PROSPECTS 2022

Prospects for East Africa in 2022.

Even if politicians deal, Lebanon faces a bleak future

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LEBANON

The audit and wider structural economic reforms are preconditions for urgently needed foreign aid. Economic conditions in Lebanon are still worsening, with power cuts, food…

Ghana's Akufo-Addo holds poll advantage over old foe

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GHANA

This is the third time Akufo-Addo and Mahama have faced each other: Akufo-Addo lost to Mahama in 2012 but won in 2016. The appearance of two well-known candidates may contribute…

Ethiopia’s Oromia faces worst insecurity in decades

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ETHIOPIA

Violence in Oromia has intensified recently, involving OLA and government forces, but increasingly also 'self-help' groups of Amhara minorities, with alleged support from ‘Fano’…

Congo military reforms face major challenges

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CONGO-KINSHASA

Within days, Congolese army (FARDC) officials said some 2,000 volunteers had joined the FARDC’s ranks. Meanwhile, in October, Tshisekedi made sweeping changes to the FARDC’s…

Oromo singer’s murder threatens Ethiopia’s transition

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ETHIOPIA

His killing has triggered violent protests and attacks mainly against ethnic Amharas in Oromia region. At least 81 people are confirmed dead; with information constrained by an…

South Sudan peace deal faces legitimacy gap

Location:

SOUTH SUDAN

Although the ‘transition’ foreseen under that agreement was intended to end with national elections in 2022, the signatories recently agreed to extend the transition by two years…