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Beijing-Washington ties will be competition-based

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CHINA/UNITED STATES

Despite some positive short-term outcomes, the two sides’ read-outs reflect the structural nature of their competition and the limits that this places on cooperation.

Palestinian Hamas will fight hard in Gaza

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PALESTINIANS

This coincides with regional anger over the renewed shutdown of Gaza communications and a deadly Israeli strike on Jabalia refugee camp, as part of the stepped-up Israeli…

Gulf states’ quarrels may damage Israel in Gaza

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GULF STATES/ISRAEL

Informal ties between Israel and some of the Gulf Arab monarchies in economic, intelligence, and security affairs are growing, encouraged by the prospect of a US-mediated…

Gaza war and GenAI test anti-disinformation efforts

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INT

Experienced journalists have labelled this the worst disinformation event they have experienced. The spread of inaccurate information online has made monitoring the unfolding…

Israel will strengthen its ties with the Gulf

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ISRAEL/GULF STATES

In October, Netanyahu travelled to Oman -- the first visit there by an Israeli premier in decades. In the past few years, relations between Israel and most of the six Gulf…

Russia will seek to benefit from the Israel-Hamas war

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RUSSIA

In the wake of the war between Hamas and Israel, Russia has positioned itself as an important player in the Middle East, which can leverage its working relationships with all the…

In the EU, France is uniquely exposed to the Gaza war

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FRANCE

With sizeable Jewish and Arab populations, France is particularly vulnerable to social tension when conflict erupts between Israel and the Palestinians. Politically, the left-wing…

Israel-Hamas-Hezbollah manoeuvring endangers Lebanon

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PALESTINIANS/ISRAEL/LEBANON

The killing of Hamas leaders abroad follows existing Israeli policy. However, the greater significance stems from the challenge presented to the wider Iranian ‘Axis of…

Israel, Hamas online war has limited impact on opinion

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MIDDLE EAST

Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu suggested that Israel could seek to take the PA to the ICC over its reconciliation agreement with the "war criminals" of Hamas. Alongside the…

Middle East export growth will be slow

Location:

MIDDLE EAST

Regional trade performance.