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Syrian government can consolidate, but not reconstruct

Location:

SYRIA

Idlib is one of four ‘de-escalation zones’ agreed between Russia, Turkey and Iran on May 6. Their partial implementation has reduced the pressure of airstrikes by pro-government…

Damascus can manage fragmented military forces

Location:

SYRIA

President Bashar al-Assad's two principal foreign backers, Russia and Iran, support and to some extent direct sizeable forces in Syria on which Assad relies. That contributes to a…

Baku’s ties with the West will worsen

Location:

AZERBAIJAN

US Secretary of State Antony Blinken spoke by telephone with President Ilham Aliyev, to raise "points of concern" in "enduring" US relations with Azerbaijan, the State…

Cyber conflict will probably become more destructive

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Although Orangeworm is not believed to be state-backed, governments are prioritising the development of offensive cyberweapons but deploying them in different ways. These range…

Ukraine coal shortages risk winter crisis

Location:

UKRAINE

Kyiv's next energy problem.

Ukraine conflict alters the role of cyberspace in war

Location:

INT

Biden and other Western officials have not made any specifics public. Nonetheless, the advice underlines the risks to global geopolitical stability from cyberspace, an unstable…

North Caucasus will remain under Moscow's control

Location:

RUSSIA

Russia has managed to ensure relative order and stability in the region in recent years, with transfers from the federal budget helping tame local opposition groups that…

Syrian reconstruction plans will multiply

Location:

SYRIA

The five-year war in Syria has caused significant damage to urban infrastructure. Negotiations convened by Russia and Turkey in Astana, Kazakhstan, have raised expectations of a…

Russia and also Europe to suffer from EU sanctions

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

EU leaders accept that the measures will undercut EU growth and increase the risks of recession. They have less appetite than Washington for further sanctions, reflecting their…

External moves will dictate scale of Caucasus conflict

Location:

AZERBAIJAN/ARMENIA

The conflict has remained frozen since 1994 partly because external actors have exercised restraint. By contrast, Turkey is now giving Azerbaijan unqualified rhetorical support…