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Slower Polish growth may upset 2019 budget targets

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POLAND

With a two-year electoral cycle getting under way, the PiS government may be tempted to increase social spending. The stronger-than-expected economic outturn in the first half of…

Thai premier faces struggle to hold onto power

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THAILAND

2023 was marked by months of political suspense as parties attempted to form a governing coalition after the May general election. Srettha Thavisin became prime minister in…

Pandemic will worsen Latin America's gender inequality

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LATIN AMERICA

However, according to the UN Economic Commission for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC), the coronavirus pandemic may undo more than a decade’s progress on labour…

VW affair raises 'German model' questions

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GERMANY

The financial implications of the VW scandal could threaten the operation of Germany's largest carmaker. The scandal is damaging the reputation of not only the car sector but also…

Philippine poll front runner will hold onto lead

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PHILIPPINES

On April 25, the Commission on Elections (COMELEC) cancelled the last two live televised presidential debates it had organised because of scheduling difficulties arising from…

Qatar’s legislative election plans carry risks

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QATAR

The emir in November 2019 ordered work to begin on long-delayed legislative polls for the Shura Council, requiring decisions on voting mechanisms and electoral districting. The…

New Polish party could hold balance of power

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POLAND

Spring’s emergence onto the political scene

Poll results boost Modi’s 2024 chances

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INDIA

Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) retained power, albeit with reduced majorities, in Uttar Pradesh (UP) and Uttarakhand. It will again lead the…

New Brazil government faces economic challenges

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BRAZIL

For 2023, the market expects a significant slowdown, with growth of around 0.8%. This presents a highly challenging context for President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and his finance…

Politics clouds Central Europe’s short-term outlook

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CENTRAL EUROPE

Last year ended dramatically, with the European Court of Justice (ECJ) ordering the Polish government to suspend its reform of the Supreme Court, and the European Commission…