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Chances of US-Russian treaty extension look slim

Location:

RUSSIA/US

The New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (New START) will expire next February unless Moscow and Washington agree an extension. The White House has proposed replacing it with a…

US arms and nuclear pressure may force Iran reaction

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IRAN

The ban expires on October 18, under the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), the 2015 nuclear deal, from which Washington withdrew in 2018. If its extension efforts fail…

Moscow considers stripping Tatarstan of special status

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RUSSIA

The Kremlin is saying nothing, but seems unlikely to approve an extension and has not initiated the legislation needed for this. Ending the treaty will annul Tatarstan's claim to…

Kremlin wants 2018 Russian poll to give real mandate

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RUSSIA

Kremlin strategy for the 2018 presidential election.

Myanmar junta will press on with election plans

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MYANMAR

This enables the State Administration Council, the junta headed by military chief and coup leader Min Aung Hlaing, to remain in place for another six months. Min Aung Hlaing…

Turkish foreign policy will seek a power balance

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TURKEY

Turkey’s confrontation with the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) is a key driver of regional and to some extent international policy. Erdogan’s comfortable victory in the May 2023…

Prospects for Europe in the second quarter

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PROSPECTS Q2 2015

Prospects for Europe in the second quarter.

Gas crunch will affect South-East European politics

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BALKANS

This 30% hike, from BGN102.33 in December, was at the request of Bulgargaz, the state-owned gas distributor. The decision came in the wake of a parliamentary vote on December 16…

Greece will pursue reforms in Mitsotakis's new term

Location:

GREECE

Having secured a second term and delivered a crushing defeat to the leftist Syriza, ND head Kyriakos Mitsotakis is now Greece’s uncontested leader. He has received a strong…

Improvement in Turkish-US ties will be limited

Location:

TURKEY/US

The deadly tremors on February 6 have ushered in a period of calm in bilateral relations, and Ankara is signalling that it could lift its veto on NATO’s enlargement to Finland and…