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Controversies could fuel COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy

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INT

Scientists and governments are increasingly concerned that ‘vaccine hesitancy’, the situation of people delaying or refusing some or all vaccines, could reduce immunisation…

Only vaccines or drugs will end social distancing

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INTERNATIONAL

Studies currently estimate that only a small fraction of people were infected prior to strict social-distancing enforcement. A major second wave of COVID-19 cases and deaths is…

The WHO’s COVID-19 pandemic declaration may be late

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INTERNATIONAL

Until this point, the organisation had resisted using the term despite COVID-19 reaching all continents apart from Antarctica and a growing external scientific consensus that the…

Prospects for the global economy to end-2021

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PROSPECTS H2 2021

However, supply is struggling to keep pace with demand, and dislocation effects plus shortages of some critical goods and workers are raising prices. GDP growth forecasts for 2021…

Tourism-reliant economies’ business models will evolve

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INTERNATIONAL

Highly tourist-dependent states in the Global South have suffered dramatic falls in GDP as a result. However, the impact has varied and it is notable that relatively high levels…

COVID-19 to hinder international climate diplomacy

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INTERNATIONAL

Climate diplomacy.

Prospects for fossil fuels to end-2020

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PROSPECTS

This is the minimum level needed to sustain government spending in many hydrocarbon-exporting economies. Gas markets have proven more resilient to the economic disruption of…

Conspiracy theories cost societies dear

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INTERNATIONAL

The aim of the pilot programme will be to accelerate the identification of misinformation. Deliberate disinformation campaigns have already affected elections and politics, but…

Prospects for COVID-19 to end-2021

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PROSPECTS H2 2021

COVID-19 remains a complex disease due to lack of effective treatment, uncertainty around variants, marked differences by country and region on vaccination progress, and…

The great GDP contraction may herald huge crowding out

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INTERNATIONAL

Economic stimulus schemes and gaps.