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Georgia risks becoming Russian sanctions-evasion haven

Location:

GEORGIA/RUSSIA

Tbilisi has authorised flights by two smaller Russian airlines, exacerbating fears of the potential for sanctions evasion. That follows the easing of Russia’s visa regime for…

Turkey will reduce inflation gradually

Location:

TURKEY

Although the central bank has increased interest rates substantially since June 2023, the effects on economic activity and inflation have been limited. Prices and policy…

Risks will outweigh recovery chances in Eastern Europe

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EASTERN EUROPE

The economic environment has been dictated by Russia’s war in Ukraine and its market and policy implications. Next year, the prospects for the V4 economies are moderately upbeat…

Ethiopia faces tough monetary and fiscal rebalancing

Location:

ETHIOPIA

Numerous domestic and external shocks have rocked the macroeconomic environment in recent years, aggravating high inflation and chronic foreign exchange (forex) shortages…

Prospects for India in 2024

Location:

PROSPECTS 2024

Meanwhile, the government and the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) both expect 6.5% GDP growth in the fiscal year ending March 2024, which would put the country among the top economic…

China cracks down on its financial sector

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CHINA

The authorities have also pressured many financial entities into cutting pay and benefits and carried out broad reforms of financial regulators. These moves may be part of…

Ethiopia faces tough negotiations around IMF programme

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ETHIOPIA

Addis Ababa must reach an agreement with the IMF to honour its commitments under its debt-service suspension agreement with official creditors. Thereafter, further talks will be…

War in Ukraine will impel Kazakhstan to diversify

Location:

KAZAKHSTAN

Kazakhstan’s economy has weathered well the turbulences created by the war in Ukraine. A new context for the country’s traditional aspirations to balance and diversify economic…

Indonesian economy should perform solidly this year

Location:

INDONESIA

Only India and China have higher projections. Indonesia recorded GDP growth of just over 5% year-on-year in January-March, with robust consumer and government spending helping to…

Sanctions will increase risks for Russian economy

Location:

RUSSIA

However, although output has grown, a tight labour market and persistent inflation have created new problems. The reorientation of trade away from Europe has resulted in a…