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Iran will avoid direct conflict but has other options

Location:

IRAN

Washington has increased pressure on Tehran on a near-daily basis since it designated the IRGC as a terrorist organisation on April 8. The United States has imposed new sanctions…

Trump could shift US thinking on nuclear weapons

Location:

UNITED STATES

Uncertainties surround Trump's willingness to uphold past US foreign policy commitments; nuclear weapons policy is no exception. The next administration will take power with…

Pressure on Iran’s banks raises chances of collapse

Location:

IRAN

However, the signs of strain are becoming more marked. On December 15, the Central Bank of Iran (CBI) issued an official warning to all financial institutions, threatening legal…

Success of new US nuclear arms focus not certain

Location:

UNITED STATES

The document is the first comprehensive statement by President Donald Trump’s administration on its approach to nuclear strategy, modernisation of the US nuclear arsenal and…

Covert Iran-Israel clashes could spiral out of control

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IRAN/ISRAEL

The incident, which is being widely attributed to Israel, is part of a series of unexplained fires and explosions at sensitive military and industrial sites. It follows heightened…

Afghan Taliban’s multiple faces reduce scope for peace

Location:

AFGHANISTAN

The militants' losses demonstrate their resilience rather than weakness. Kabul is trying to restart talks with the Taliban and assert ownership of the process. Whether the Taliban…

US-Russian arms competition will focus on India

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US/RUSSIA

India is the world's largest arms importer and its primary suppliers are Russia and the United States. Although the two suppliers largely sell their weapons to different customers…

Damascus can choose to deal with Ankara or the Kurds

Location:

SYRIA

Washington supported the SDF to fight Islamic State (IS) in Syria. Now that it is largely defeated, there are questions over the superpower’s commitment. The United States has…

Cyber conflict will probably become more destructive

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Although Orangeworm is not believed to be state-backed, governments are prioritising the development of offensive cyberweapons but deploying them in different ways. These range…

Australian challenge to China rare earths likely

Location:

AUSTRALIA

Rare earths mining in Australia and globally.