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Prospects for US foreign policy to end-2016

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PROSPECTS H2 2016

Prospects for US foreign policy to end-2016.

Russia's plans for Ukraine may not be finalised

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RUSSIA

This is another signal that Washington views a Russian attack on Ukraine as imminent. A day earlier, the UK Foreign Office accused five Ukrainian former officials of conspiring…

Tokyo will strengthen its support for Taiwan

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JAPAN

Japan has a stake in Taiwan’s continued autonomy as a constraint on China’s ability to dominate the region. Japanese politicians have become bolder in indicating support for…

Mine attack may seek to break inter-Korea impasse

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KOREAS

In language more typical of Pyongyang, South Korea's Joint Chiefs of Staff on August 10 promised a "pitiless penalty" for what is the first inter-Korean bloodshed since 2010. The…

US defence pick will face tackling major problems

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UNITED STATES

Esper’s confirmation, which is highly likely, will end the longest period in which the Pentagon has lacked a permanent secretary. The leadership vacuum in the Defense Department…

Trump win will force Abe to recalibrate key policies

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JAPAN

Tokyo had prepared for a Hillary Clinton victory, and is alarmed by comments during Trump's election campaign that raise doubts over the US-Japan defence alliance and raise fears…

Tensions on the Israel-Syria-Lebanon border will rise

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ISRAEL/LEBANON/SYRIA

This followed the first-ever operational launch of the longer-range Arrow ballistic missile defence system (initially introduced in 2000), when an Arrow-2 missile interceptor on…

West offers Ukraine sympathy but no action on Russia

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RUSSIA/UKRAINE

President Petro Poroshenko responded by imposing martial law in border provinces and urged NATO to protect Ukraine by sailing warships into the Sea of Azov. Moscow insists it…

South China Sea military moves may precede escalation

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CHINA

New military activities in the South China Sea.

US exit from Afghanistan could hold valuable lessons

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UNITED STATES

The final departure of US troops from Kabul in August 2021 has become a point of political contention that will feature during next year’s election campaign. Republicans blame…