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Expert briefing
Publication date: 14 March 2022

The conflict in Ukraine is a threat to Turkey’s economy. The lira has weakened again, which will push inflation above 60%. Ankara has condemned Moscow’s invasion but is seeking…

Expert briefing
Publication date: 4 April 2024

Defence spending will account for 1.2% of GDP in 2024, having remained stable at around this figure for at least the past two decades. Nevertheless, outside estimates of China’s…

Expert briefing
Publication date: 31 March 2022

Rising interest rates and commodity prices, and cheap stock market assets have been key factors in attracting capital. As a result, the real appreciated from around BRL5.7:USD1 in…

Expert briefing
Publication date: 28 February 2024

The IMF has revised downwards its forecast for Saudi GDP growth in 2024 to 2.7% but raised its 2025 forecast to 5.5%. This reflects a positive medium-term outlook for the Gulf…

Expert briefing
Publication date: 3 October 2019

Lourenco’s government launched in August its flagship Privatisation Programme (PROPRIV), with 195 companies and assets set to be either fully or partially sold. With a legal…

Expert briefing
Publication date: 2 March 2023

The war delivered a shock to Europe’s post-Cold War order -- its security, peace and stability. Economically, it marks a turn in global trade relations, supply chains and energy…

Expert briefing
Publication date: 27 September 2017

The wage scale law was cast into question when a contentious tax hike law intended to fund it was annulled by the Constitutional Council on September 22, partly on the grounds…

Expert briefing
Publication date: 4 January 2018

Risks to Turkey as a low-cost tourist destination.

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